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New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”
Posted inStatistics

New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”

Sandhya Kajeepeta, who, like myself, boasts of a "(grating) Michigan accent", tweeted "We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe. In this new @AMJPublicHealth paper…
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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms

I received this thoughtful, and may I say highly accurate, email from reader EN, which I include in full below. I removed the age and name to protect EN's identity.…
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On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness
Posted inStatistics

On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness

I am in the Northwoods at the water's edge, far from the teeming masses, and I only had time to glance through this new study that claims that women who…
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That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted
Posted inStatistics

That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted

Long-time readers will recall the original criticisms of the paper "The Negative Association between Religiousness and Children's Altruism across the World" by Jean Decety, Jason M. Cowell, Kang Lee, Susan…
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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again — Pesticides & Autism

Long-time readers will recall the epidemiologist fallacy is a shotgun marriage of the ecological fallacy and wee p-values. Make that and/or confidence intervals. For confidence intervals are equivalent to p-values…
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  1. C-Marie on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    Yay for the Truth!! God bless, C-Marie

  2. John M on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    I asked an AI: if the big bang theory is true, where is the center of the universe? The answer…

  3. hudbwu on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 14, 2026

    @R W Pearson: Okay good, we're talking about it. If I understood Correia correctly, he offers the following defence: "the…

  4. Tim on AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)January 14, 2026

    Absolutely true! After rephrasing or submitting more factual information, I get even more dismissive replies. Yeah, there are certainly "No…

  5. John M on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 14, 2026

    I think law enforcement needs to revisit how they respond to vehicles. If a vehicle is classified as a deadly…

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