Search Results for “probability” – Page 8

How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example

Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…

Statistics

Possibility Versus Probability & Decision

Philip Pilkington, author of the buyable The Reformation in Economics: A Deconstruction and Reconstruction of Economic Theory, asks a follow-up question to the material on the precautionary principle. If probability…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part III: Ergodicity & All That

Read Part I, Part II Ergodic in probability has a technical definition. Without going into mathematical details (which are fine except possibly when applied), a "sequence" is defined as a…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part II: Skin in the Game

Read Part I It is in one sense fortunate that the mathematical, or rather quantitative, roots of probability began with gambling. Routine gambles are easy to understand, and the calculations…

Class Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…

Philosophy Statistics

Formal Logic And Probability

One of the arguments is that probability does not extend predicate logic, but does extend propositional logic. The concern is that because predicate logic is formal and propositional logic is…

Statistics

Probability Three Points On A Line & Measurement Paradoxes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVH4MS6v23U Reader Neil Taylor points us to the video above, which is a jumping point for the larger question (be sure to watch the video first): In [the video] Professor…

Book review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…

Michael Dowd on Antichrist, by Saint Robert BellarmineNovember 25, 2025
Yes, the Anti-Christ will come sooner or later. Better to be prepared to meet Christ at our own demise.
shawn marshall on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
Israel - Waiting for Godot for 2000 years = a stiff necked people Islam - Satanic Verses - also denies…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 25, 2025
There are so many things that can be read out of these graphs. But I'm a little bit confused what…
hudbwu on Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto WattNovember 25, 2025
I just looked at some (apparently "AI"-generated) statistics. It seems USA is on track to deport 500k people this year…