How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

This post is really for those adept at math, a necessary avenue to understand this subject entirely. Most will want to skip the video. BUT DO READ THE LECTURE. IT'S…

Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker's documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a…

Today the math, which you don't strictly need if you can't calculate, behind how to think about Research Shows headlines and papers. This will be an invaluable exercise. You must…

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/udYEqLKo?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for…

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, or Gab. Our title comes from a famous book by Lester Dubbins and Leonard Savage, which appeared at the beginning of the Bayesian…