Search Results for “probability” – Page 50

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…

Statistics

Why You Don’t Have To Worry About Climate Change: Multiplication Of Uncertainties

I once did a talk on this subject at Spain's Royal Institute of Science during the first global warming panic, but I did a lousy job. Now, at the time…

Statistics

More On Why Falsifiability Is Not Interesting

Take a look-see at this science pic: This is the output from some model, the nature of which is not especially interesting, and the accompanying observations. In other words, predictions…

Statistics

Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model

Reporter Leslie Stahl once had herself filmed walking by a power plant's smokestack. She said, "There could be anything coming out of there." Unless "we" acted. She asked her ardent…

Statistics

There Are No Such Things As 100-Year Floods: Global Warming Isn’t Making Floods Worse

Reader Chuck Lampert writes: Hi Briggs! I got into a kerfluffle with some Climate Apocalypse true believers who said the frequency of 1/50, 1/100, 1/500, and 1/1000 yr floods is…

Statistics

The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues

"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…

Statistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…

Statistics

Curious Notions Of Cause In Science & Statistics

You will forgive me if this post is more technical than usual. I try to leave out math, knowing how confusing it can be. But here it is necessary. The…

shawn marshall on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026
Let me say something stupid cuz I'm not vey bright - to me it is an indication of the Existence…
Carlos Julio Casanova Guerra on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026
I was hoping you wrote about race, because I wanted to hand you a quote, since long ago, but I…
McChuck on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026
DIE, put this way, sounds an awful lot like Lysenkoism.
John Pate on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 1, 2026
As I'm fond of pointing out, a 100% of the reason you're a man and not a monkey is genetics.…
John Pate on A New Kind Of University: Your Comments WantedAugust 30, 2026
Not convinced you're encroaching on the functions of the universities with this initiative. Seems to me the primary functions of…