Search Results for “probability” – Page 33

Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit

Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…

Fun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…

Fun

The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System

It's the time of year when people begin asking the very pertinent question: How does Santa Claus do it? How does he get all those presents to all those kids…

Culture

Sit Still — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The hardest thing for any (sane) man to do is to sit still and take it like a real man. Especially when the 'it' is delivered by a shrieking witch.…

Statistics

What Are Empirical P-values?

This is part II of contributor William Raynor's request at defining p-values without using the word probability. This assumes you read and assimilated Part I. First, a clarification from Ryanor:…

Class Statistics

Free Probability-Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part IX

Review! Last time we successfully computed our model (8): (8) Pr(CGPA = i | guesses of new measures, grading rules, old obs, model), where i = 0,...,5. The model…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…

Fun

Bloggy Details

Subscribe Been getting loads of emails---okay, a few---all right, one---on how to receive the daily posts, steaming hot, right in your Inbox. That's easy! Go to the bottom of the…

Phil R on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 17, 2024
3 – no one can prove p=1/n for n possible outcomes about which we have no info because it is…
Ralph Mertesdorf on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 17, 2024
People have many dimensions. Does not "equality" always need to identify the dimension to have a clear meaning? Are we…
A Flood Of Evidence: From God To Noah To Hume To Nobody – William M. Briggs on Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!July 17, 2024
[…] which somehow—nobody knows how—act on parameters of probability models. Readers who got through this paper will understand this critique.…
The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2 – William M. Briggs on There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1July 17, 2024
[…] We continue our series on the works of David Stove by picking up where we left off with the…
Briggs on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 17, 2024
Hagfish, Yes, I'd say entry level, for those who have had some usual math training. Which is not most people,…