Search Results for “probability” – Page 32

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability Of Abiogenesis? There Isn’t One

Remember before when we agreed nothing has a probability? Bully. So if no thing has a probability, neither does abiogenesis, since abiogenesis is a thing. Since abiogenesis is a thing…

Fun Statistics

The Probability of Monkeys Typing Shakespeare

This article, which originally appeared 20 May 2010, was inspired by reading Fredwin On Evolution, as wisely suggested by reader Bob Ludwick. At the bottom of Fred's piece, there appears…

Class Statistics

Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!

The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…

Statistics

Forget Priors!

From Bill Raynor: Hello Matt, You like to discuss P(Y|M) a lot, but haven't spent much time talking about the practical construction of that. A topic I'd like to see:…

Culture Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2020!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Everybody…

Statistics

Defending The Canceled Mask Paper; Gain-Of-Lethality Confirmed?; Time We Quit These Updates? — Coronavirus Update LXXII

NOTHING MORTAL GOES FOREVER Should we quit these updates? I know I've grown sick of them. Are you? Maybe replace them with articles when warranted, such as what our dear…

Philosophy

The Physicist Brian Greene Does Not Exist — And Neither Do You — If The Nonexistent Greene Is Right

The excerpt of a collection of sounds from a thing which is called Brian Greene, but which isn't, is here: https://twitter.com/newscientist/status/1247891248783831047 The full "interview", which isn't really an interview, because…

AG McNeil on No posts, class. No power, no internetApril 2, 2025
April Fools (?)
Sam on No posts, class. No power, no internetApril 2, 2025
So this is an open thread then. Something to do while Sarge is on break. Read some of Feynman's Lectures…
Hagfish Bagpipe on No posts, class. No power, no internetApril 1, 2025
Ice storm. No power. How romantic. Break out the candles, stoke a fire, and open another bottle of wine. After…
C-Marie on No posts, class. No power, no internetApril 1, 2025
Miss you, too!! God bless, C-Marie
Brian (bulaoren) on No posts, class. No power, no internetApril 1, 2025
I miss you, old father William. Do you think that Greenland is the new island of Melos? I was thinking…