Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
Posted inStatistics
The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy
Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!
Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function
Note to the colleague who wrote me. I lost your email! You asked excellent questions about the post Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix, which I meant…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus
Here is an example of a supposed paradox caused by using Keyne's Principle of Indifference, which Stove and others (and myself) call the Statistical Syllogism (itself deduced from the symmetry…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think
Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…
Posted inStatistics
You Can’t Predict The Unpredictable
There is, or might even not be, some BAD THING ahead of us. I don't know what it is, and you don't know what it is, and nobody knows what…
Posted inStatistics
CDC Lies To Itself, And You, On Vax Immunity; The Lancet Study Which Shows Vaccination Does Little; More! — Coronavirus Update CIV
HELP Please comment below if you know of ties to specific vaccines and fetal tissues. Thanks. THE PURGES BEGIN https://twitter.com/_Andy_Boyd_/status/1454955163047940100 See the whole thread. Doc with natural acquired immunity after…
