Search Results for “probability” – Page 111

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…

Philosophy Statistics

Group Differences: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Read the first entry in this series. All of what follows will appear ridiculously obvious to those who have had no statistical training. Those who have must struggle. In a…

Culture Statistics

Japanese Meltdown

No, not the reactors, the press. Ghouls, most of them. They always wish for the worst. The only class of people (besides Communists and morticians) for whom death not only…

Statistics

Climate Science And Significance: Wall Street Journal Takes On Statistics

Coin Flips and Dice Rolls Doug Keenan has a must-read piece in the Wall Street Journal on the time series analysis of global temperature (Thanks to Randy, Roger, and John…

Statistics

Overstretching Climate Change Attribution

Says Camille Parmesan and others, "The biological world is responding rapidly to a changing climate, but attempts to attribute individual impacts to rising greenhouse gases are ill-advised" (from the first…

Statistics

Bad Statistics Is Now A Crime

All p-values are not created equal, nor equally. Use one inappropriately, and you can land in jail. Just like Scott "Baron" (I'm guessing) Harkonen, former CEO of InterMune, a company…

Statistics

Statistics Galore! Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 0

Two Weeks Beginning tomorrow, and lasting a semisolid two weeks, will be my class at Cornell. A Masters "How To" in statistics, directed towards MBA-like personages. An impossible task. No…

Statistics

Randomness And Mysticism. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 2

Last night was spent at the storied Chapter House, for our annual first-night ceremony of Deliberate Numbness Induction, much needed after eight straight hours of unmitigated statistical theory. The only…

hudbwu on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 20, 2024
All correct. Slavery had to be specially justified and strictly limited because nobody was inherently worthy of slavery. Therefore, all…
TFBW on Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes SymmetryJuly 20, 2024
If nothing else, this lecture is giving me pause to reconsider some of my presuppositions. I'm not too satisfied with…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 20, 2024
Johnno: "It’s like a panacea, but in reverse." Good one.
Johnno on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 19, 2024
Have the reporters asked the White House if perhaps another booster might help the Biden? A certain someone said it…
Johnno on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 19, 2024
Technically, the Church had and used slaves. And even the Old Testament allowed for slavery under certain conditions. For example,…