Search Results for “prediction forecast” – Page 12

Winners Announced In The Rename “Global Warming” Contest!

On 17 July we started the Rename "Global Warming" Contest. This produced 66 entries, which is a record for contests here. Thanks to everybody who participated. I think we've done…

Statistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…

Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…

Fun

Rename “Global Warming” Contest

Andrew Jackson (â€@yodacomplex) reminded me of the screwy history of the thing that was Global Warming. The phrase has undergone many revisions, examples of which are: Climate Change, Climate Cataclysm,…

Culture Philosophy

The Consensus Fallacy

Here is the word-for-word opening in the Vox "explanatory journalism" tidbit "John Oliver shows how to debate climate deniers": That climate change is occurring, and that humans are the primary…

Culture

Global Warming Update: Titanic Sunk! Contest Update: Other Historical Events. Update: Not Me!

Been a while since I looked out the climate window, because why? Because I figured there'd be nothing to see. After two decades of failed forecasts I assumed most modelers…

Philosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is: Part II

Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…

Culture Philosophy

Belgian “Doctors” To Kill Kids They Think They Can’t Cure

Belgium has just made it legal for "doctors" to kill children. Not those who haven't yet escaped the womb---those kids have been fair game for any quack with a sharp…

hudbwu on On Various New Values Of P(Doom)February 5, 2025
You're right. Substituting "computer model" for "AI" really does defuse the emotion of the language. It almost converts an alarming…
Paul Murphy on On Various New Values Of P(Doom)February 5, 2025
The version of Captain Cyborg on the zdnet site has apparently been somewhat garbled (actually I'm surprised it's still there).…
C-Marie on On Various New Values Of P(Doom)February 5, 2025
Well, you never can tell. I am 81 plus and figure that leaving here will be all Joy as Heaven…
Paul Murphy on On Various New Values Of P(Doom)February 5, 2025
AI, as it is and within presently known technologies,has the potential to answer Fermi's paradox through an example of one…
Cary Cotterman on On Various New Values Of P(Doom)February 5, 2025
I've lost count of the times I've been told we're on the brink of doom during my fairly long life.…