Posted inStatistics
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
Posted inStatistics
Does Barack Obama Have A Mandate? A Look At The Numbers
How important was Barack Obama's victory? By what measure can he be said to have secured a "mandate"? How does his election compares to others? And how do voters in…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Many Lie About Their Support Of Gay Marriage: Study
Thanks to New York Times's (yes) Russ Douthat who alerted us to the paper "Findings from a Decade of Polling on Ballot Measures Regarding the Legal Status of Same Sex…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll
There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…
Posted inStatistics
Global Warming Beliefs, New Poll
I'm still on the road this week, with my access to the internet sporadic. Email or phone is the best way to find me. Rasmussen reports that, "69% Say It's…
Posted inFun Statistics
How To Maximize The Chance Of Winning The Office Super Bowl Pool
Forget climatology. It's time for something really controversial. How to fill in those grid squares on the Super Bowl office pool. An example of one is shown below. The full…
Posted inStatistics
Don’t Drive On Tax Day! You Might Die
This is it. The day to traipse to the post office and mail in your income tax papers. In farm lingo, this is the time swill the pigs. To feed…
Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics
Gloom, Despair, Email Spoofing, And Kahan’s Science Literacy Paper
Somebody spoofed my Yahoo email address which I use for ordering, registrations and the like. Sent hundreds of emails to my contact list yesterday. Now I ordinarily run Linux, which…
