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Posted inStatistics

Scientific Forecasts, Not Scenarios, For Climate Policy—Guest Post by J. Scott Armstrong

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
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Posted inStatistics

The Political Science Of The IPCC

Since the IPCC festival begins this week, I'm alternating posts like this with the series started yesterday. In this thing called Science, just as in other human affairs, one can…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky—And Profitable—Business: Part I

Not a trick question: what's the difference between a risk of one in ten million and one of two in ten million? The official answer is "Not much." Though I…
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Posted inStatistics

Analysing Perceptions Of Cute Videos Of Threatened Species

Another peer-reviewed paper for you. "Tickled to Death: Analysing Public Perceptions of 'Cute' Videos of Threatened Species (Slow Lorises -- Nycticebus spp.) on Web 2.0 Sites" by K. Anne-Isola Nekaris…
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Posted inStatistics

fMRI Discovers Freud, Distribution Plushies Lurking In Brain

Regular readers will know my opinion on fMRI research. Nothing but newfangled electronic phrenologic theory-discovering machines. Well, I take it all back. Yes, the new paper "A Triple Dissociation of…
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Posted inStatistics

The 0.3% “Consensus”—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that…
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  1. BDavi52 on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    You ask, "Why would anybody take a survey with such a slippery and indefensible list of questions seriously?” The answer…

  2. CorkyAgain on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    "how much sexual assault and harassment they enjoyed" Unless you're being snide (hardly unexpected), "enjoyed" should probably be "endured".

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    PS... I am regretting my use of the word "Unencumbered". I should of used Kamala Harris's term; "Unburdned". Madame Harris…

  4. Cary Cotterman on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    When I was twenty-two, and a bit drunk at a party, I kissed a woman I was not in a…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    Something today's women fail to recognize is that though a high body-count may make a male seem "Alpha" , that…

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