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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Scientific Forecasts, Not Scenarios, For Climate Policy—Guest Post by J. Scott Armstrong

The human race has prospered by relying on forecasts that the seasons will follow their usual course, while knowing they will sometimes be better or worse. Are things different now?…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
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Posted inStatistics

The Political Science Of The IPCC

Since the IPCC festival begins this week, I'm alternating posts like this with the series started yesterday. In this thing called Science, just as in other human affairs, one can…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky—And Profitable—Business: Part I

Not a trick question: what's the difference between a risk of one in ten million and one of two in ten million? The official answer is "Not much." Though I…
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Posted inStatistics

Analysing Perceptions Of Cute Videos Of Threatened Species

Another peer-reviewed paper for you. "Tickled to Death: Analysing Public Perceptions of 'Cute' Videos of Threatened Species (Slow Lorises -- Nycticebus spp.) on Web 2.0 Sites" by K. Anne-Isola Nekaris…
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Posted inStatistics

fMRI Discovers Freud, Distribution Plushies Lurking In Brain

Regular readers will know my opinion on fMRI research. Nothing but newfangled electronic phrenologic theory-discovering machines. Well, I take it all back. Yes, the new paper "A Triple Dissociation of…
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Posted inStatistics

The 0.3% “Consensus”—Guest Post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

A major peer-reviewed paper by four senior researchers has exposed grave errors in an earlier paper in a new and unknown journal that had claimed a 97.1% scientific consensus that…
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  1. C-Marie on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 3, 2026

    Interesting!! But the work Jesus gave us to do, is to teach all that He taught, including that He, Jesus,…

  2. NLR on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 3, 2026

    The part about a form being occupied applies to technology as well. Technology cannot be whatever people want it to…

  3. John Pate on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 2, 2026

    Scientism corrupts everything. The Theory of Evolution continues to evolve but, like gravity, evolution is a thing and it might…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 2, 2026

    As flies to wanton boys are we to evolutionists...

  5. Uncle Mike on The Solution To EvolutionNovember 2, 2026

    Good call, Mr. Rhodes. Readers, please search Darwinian Fairytales. A wonderful rabbit hole awaits you.

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