Search Results for “parameters” – Page 9

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…

FREE CLASS

UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…

Fun

Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites

Tune in tomorrow to make your 2020 predictions! Results for 2019 coming Thursday. Reader Favorites Here were the Top 10 reader favorite posts of 2019, in which the numbers surprised…

Class Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…

Statistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…

Statistics

Low-Hanging Molecules Have Already Been Picked—Most New Drugs Provide No Benefit

Remember the old stock scam? Call up 1,000 people and tell half Stock A will rise, and tell the other half it will fall. Five hundred people will be slightly…

Statistics

Two New Papers: Atmospheric Ammonia Modeling

Both of these are in review at "peer review" journals, because as we all know, peer review guarantees truth. Lot of people use what's known as the Ryden & McNeil…

Statistics

Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested

From reader Kip Hansen comes a long but good (and slightly edited) question on sea level data. I can only answer part of it, because I have no expertise in…

Pozymandias on A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s ParadoxDecember 22, 2024
I think there's a mistake about 1/3 of the way down in the text "Assuming the entity is an oracle,…
Johnno on As Woke Falls, What Rises?December 21, 2024
Whatever falls, new Expurts always rise. They even optimized Time for us and we've been confused and suffering ever since...…
Johnno on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 20, 2024
We should offer to pay for our leader's mandatory lobotomies as part of the spending passage. MANDATORY. Cite Biden's state…
Ryan on Class 32: The Evils, Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)December 20, 2024
I think you're being a bit harsh. The authors concluded as follows in their abstract: "[W]e found an excess ALS…
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take? – William M. Briggs on A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s ParadoxDecember 20, 2024
[…] did Newcomb’s Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would…