Posted inStatistics
Forget Priors!
From Bill Raynor: Hello Matt, You like to discuss P(Y|M) a lot, but haven't spent much time talking about the practical construction of that. A topic I'd like to see:…
Posted inStatistics
The Epidemiologist (P-value + Ecological) Fallacy Exposed (Video)
Video Link https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GV-IRdTWG2c The Epidemiologist Fallacy marries the Ecological Fallacy with the P-value Fallacy. The Ecological Fallacy is when it is said X causes Y, but X is not measured,…
Posted inStatistics
Boris Says Be A Girl For Great Reset; CDC Counts Vaccinated Differently; Kentucky Court Victory; The New HCQ Paper; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXV
JUICING NUMBERS https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1402708260344500226 He who controls the data controls The Science™ (I repeat myself.) WE TOLD YOU SO I don't like recommending long videos, and rarely do it. I recommend…
Posted inStatistics
Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Miscarriages And Air Pollution Edition
I love air pollution. Smells like progress. Good for you. Nothing healthier. Except smoking. There, now that that's out of the way, let's get to the paper "Air pollution-induced missed…
Posted inStatistics
Who Do You Trust More: A Sturgis Biker or An Academic Economist Waving His Wee P-value Around?
The only thing right about that new Sturgis Biker paper everybody is talking about is the opening quotation from somebody calling himself Smash Mouth (asterisks original): "Now we're all here…
Posted inStatistics
How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
FREE CLASS
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2: Quid Est Veritas? (blog,…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…
