Posted inStatistics
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Posted inStatistics
How To Generate Massive Scientific Over-Certainty With These Four Simple Tricks
Update This must be more difficult than I thought, judging by lack of questions or comments. If you do not understand, ask. Here is a picture of what they are…
Posted inStatistics
Why Much Of Science Is Fake
Why is so much of Science now fake? There are many small reasons, but one big one. Our Expertocracy. Here is a small survey proving this. Anon posted a cri…
Posted inStatistics
How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer
Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…
Posted inStatistics
The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
Posted inClass Statistics
Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
Posted inClass Statistics
When Testing Parameters Might Make Sense
This example is derived from ongoing conversations with a colleague, and portions of this post (mathematified) might show up in a paper. The genesis of this example is from Ron…
Posted inStatistics
Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
