Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is: Part II
Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…
Posted inPhilosophy
Quantum Mechanics & Free Will: Guest Post by Bob Kurland
This post originally appeared in longer form at Bob's place. There's a lot of meat here; I recommend biting it off in small chunks. "Of course I believe in free…
Posted inStatistics
How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming
Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…
Posted inStatistics
Robert Heinlein And The Distinction Between Scientist vs Academician
Christos Argyropoulos â€(@ChristosArgyrop) asked me to comment on his post of the same title at the blog Statistical Reflections of a Medical Doctor. Heinlein: One can judge from experiment, or…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is
Bookmark this one, will you, folks? If there's one thing we get more questions about and that is more abused than regression, I don't know. So here is the world's…
Posted inStatistics
How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example
Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Objective Bayes Vs. Logical Probability (Vs. Frequentism)
Reader and colleague JH has rightly taken me to task (via email) for incorrectly calling, or rather misleadingly labeling, logical probability "objective Bayes." She pointed to this set of lecture…
Posted inStatistics
An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2
The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
