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Your Most Important Choice:  Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Your Most Important Choice: Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Ante Up The world is a pretty confusing place. Considering the diverse nature of mankind's varied belief systems, that's not surprising. But that doesn't explain the depths of man's seeming…
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E. Michael Jones vs. Michael L. Brown: Can We Speak of “The Catholics” or “The Jews”?
Posted inCulture

E. Michael Jones vs. Michael L. Brown: Can We Speak of “The Catholics” or “The Jews”?

The readings for Sunday, 12 May (Acts 13:14, 43-52): Paul and Barnabas carried on from Perga till they reached Antioch in Pisidia. Here they went to synagogue on the Sabbath…
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Is Time Travel Metaphysically Possible? — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

Is Time Travel Metaphysically Possible? — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Before answering the question, I will define the different meanings of the word "possible". In philosophy, there are different senses of the word "possible". Besides, it's good to know the…
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Is A Material Bearer of Consciousness Intelligible? — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

Is A Material Bearer of Consciousness Intelligible? — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Somebody Has To Pay The Consciousness Bill The first problem that I dealt with concerning emergentism was the problem of how unconscious matter becomes conscious. I have previously argued against…
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Moral Relativism Is Bogus — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

Moral Relativism Is Bogus — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Oftentimes moral relativism is defined in more abstract terms and described as the belief that values or principles are "subjective" or "relative" to individuals or cultures. What works for one…
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Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks
Posted inStatistics

Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks

I stole today's title from David Papineau's essay "Thomas Bayes and the crisis in science", which many readers sent in. When I was in grad school bad in the early…
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There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
Posted inClass Statistics

There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either

I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…
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Chapter 1 Excerpt from <em>Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics</em>
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics

Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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