Posted inStatistics
End Of The World Set For 2047. Plan Accordingly
Bob Geldorf (and who the hell is he?) was off by seventeen years. But then I read he's a singer and no professional climatologist. Since he's some big hoo-hah celebrity,…
Posted inStatistics
The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again. EPA, CARB, And Air Pollution
Here is an email I received from Jim Enstrom of the Scientific Integrity Institute (modified to embed the links; incidentally, CARB is the California Air Resources Board, a source of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is
Bookmark this one, will you, folks? If there's one thing we get more questions about and that is more abused than regression, I don't know. So here is the world's…
Posted inStatistics
Blinks As Lie Detectors
The holy grail of behavioral psychology is a test which determines if a person is lying. One hasn't been discovered yet, though not because of a lack of effort. Pretty…
Posted inStatistics
Briggs Makes Der Spiegel: Violence “Linked”, Etc.
That embarrassing Science paper which "proves" "violence" will increase because of climate change is exciting interest globally. It certainly provided us a certain amount of harmless fun. But this time…
Posted inStatistics
Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.
When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Probabilities Aren’t Decisions
The title says it all. But its presence implies, and it is true, that people often mistake the two. If you decide to bet fifty bucks the USA beats Germany,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Explanation Vs Prediction
Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
