Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
Posted inStatistics
Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia
Dust is thrilling researchers these days. Dust, or the more scientific sounding PM2.5, is the next greatest struggle after global warming. We've already seen attempts to prove dust, as measured…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms
I received this thoughtful, and may I say highly accurate, email from reader EN, which I include in full below. I removed the age and name to protect EN's identity.…
Posted inStatistics
P-values vs. Bayes Is A False Dichotomy
There still exist defenders of p-values. The largest class, the superstitious, are those who remember nothing about p-values except that they must be wee. Let us in haste pass by…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
Posted inStatistics
Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…
Posted inStatistics
Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
Nothing can cure significance testing. Except a bullet to the p-value. (That sound you heard was from readers pretending to swoon.) The paper is out and official---and free!: "Manipulating the…
