Posted inStatistics
P-values vs. Bayes Is A False Dichotomy
There still exist defenders of p-values. The largest class, the superstitious, are those who remember nothing about p-values except that they must be wee. Let us in haste pass by…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
Posted inPhilosophy
The Problem With Ethical Egoism — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Ethical egoism is the position that says that one ought to value oneself above others and that one ought to always act with the aim of benefiting oneself. Ethical egoism…
Posted inStatistics
Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause
We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…
Posted inStatistics
Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
Nothing can cure significance testing. Except a bullet to the p-value. (That sound you heard was from readers pretending to swoon.) The paper is out and official---and free!: "Manipulating the…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
Posted inStatistics
A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
Posted inStatistics
Nature: “‘One-size-fits-all’ threshold for P values under fire.” Good. Shoot Them All Down
Nature magazine reports "'One-size-fits-all' threshold for P values under fire: Scientists hit back at a proposal to make it tougher to call findings statistically significant." Researchers are at odds over…
