Posted inStatistics
On Cause In Probability Models
Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
Posted inClass Statistics
Example Of Bad Trend Analysis
These examples are from the BAMS article "Continental US Hurricane Landfall Frequency And Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks" by PhiliP J. Klotzbach, Steven G. Bowen, Roger Pielke JR., and…
Posted inStatistics
Scientists Claim Keeping Men From Girls Locker Rooms Causes Men To Commit Suicide
Our latest misuse of statistics producing midwit science is found in the peer-reviewed paper "State-level anti-transgender laws increase past-year suicide attempts among transgender and non-binary young people in the USA"…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example
Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…
Posted inStatistics
That Study Claiming Religious Kids Are Less Altruistic That I Said Stinks Was Retracted
Long-time readers will recall the original criticisms of the paper "The Negative Association between Religiousness and Children's Altruism across the World" by Jean Decety, Jason M. Cowell, Kang Lee, Susan…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inStatistics
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets
Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…
Posted inStatistics
On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
