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Posted inPhilosophy

The So’s-Your-Old-Man Fallacy

I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Wrong-Side-Of-History Fallacy

I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Genetic Fallacy: He Works For An Oil Company!

I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
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Posted inStatistics

The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The I-Have-Big-Muscles Fallacy

Harvard graduate walks down the street where a 50-lb sack of cement blocks his way. He reaches down to shift it but discovers that despite all his might the bulk…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Ritual Sacrifice Promoted Evolution Of Stratified Societies: A Statistical Fallacy

His Majesty Every human society except one is stratified. The exception is the empire of William I, a small sand island that comes and goes by a remote and isolated…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Crybaby Fallacy (Which Atheists Often Use)

Many atheists are notorious for arguing from desire. (Be ever careful of the So's-Yer-Old-Man Fallacy.) God doesn't exist, they say or imply, because He's a big meanie, because His demands…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The Unknown Fallacy: Inflicting Your Views On Me

https://twitter.com/unknowncomic/status/639899682496454657 So a guy with a paper bag on his head, two holes cut for eyes and one for his pie hole, walks on stage, begins pumping his arms like…
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  1. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025

    Uncle Mike, By a strange coincidence, you hit upon the very example I used in the class after Thanksgiving. Pr("loaded"…

  2. Uncle Mike on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 21, 2025

    What if you rolled a six-sided die 60 times and scored a 10 for each side (1-10, 2-10, 3-10, 4-10,…

  3. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  4. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  5. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

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