Search Results for “bayes bayesian” – Page 4

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI

Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…

Book review

Sean Carroll’s “The Big Picture” Reviewed: Why “Poetic Naturalism” is an Oxymoron — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Another version of this article first appeared at Kurland's site. Scientism, the belief that science can explain everything about the world and ourselves, is a religion, although not formally expressed…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…

Statistics

Statistical Models CANNOT Show Cause, But EVERYBODY Thinks They Can. Hence the Replication CRISIS

Please pass this on to ANY researcher who uses statistics. Pretty please. With sugar on top. Like I say below, it's far far far far far past time to cease…

Philosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…

Statistics

The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails

Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…

Statistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…

Hagfish Bagpipe on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
Thats all well and good, Briggs, and pretty funny, too, but why not just torture the model until she says…
Paul Murphy on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
Reminds me a lot of stuff I used to do for fun - a great way to lose girlfriends, of…
Brian (bulaoren) on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
In an effort to narrow the gap; between Finite and Infinite, we might try compiling a list of fluent (public)…
Heresolong on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
I appreciate that they had a sense of humor about it but there is no "Finite Monkeys Theorem", there's only…
Brian (bulaoren) on More On Monkeys Typing Shakespeare & Why Chance Isn’t EnoughJanuary 15, 2025
How many words could Joe Biden type, coherently?