Posted inStatistics
How’d We Do On Our 2022 Predictions?
We had a great many predictions for 2022, so many that it would tedious for list them all. Therefore, to shorten this, I'll only highlight the best, or worst, or…
Posted inStatistics
More “Racist” AI: Blacks Pegged As Bigger “Haters” Than Whites
Ezra Klein, lead explainer over at Vox, needs to have direction of cause explained to him. He tweeted "leading AI models for processing hate speech were one-and-a-half times more likely…
Posted inStatistics
What The Covid Panic Did To Science
This was the speech I delivered on Saturday, 2 November 2025, at the True Grit Summit, held in Fort Smith, Arkansas. If and when the video becomes available, I'll post…
Posted inStatistics
Notes On AI Accuracy (Facial Recognition)
Here's a tweet (addressed to Judea Pearl), "If you could get rid of all the spurious non causal correlations in a machine-learning model, you would be left with only the…
Posted inCulture
Un-Non-Change Changing Of The Guard — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
The purpose of war is either defense or conquest. Assuming the defense loses, the conqueror faces an immediate question. Which comes first, catechize, or commercialize? The history of man is…
Posted inStatistics
AI Is Kicking Statistics’s Ass
Here's the headline: "AI can predict when someone will die with unsettling accuracy: This isn't the first time experts have harnessed AI's predictive power for healthcare." Unsettling accuracy? Is accuracy…
Posted inStatistics
Ghost In The AI
There's a terrific book, well worth scoring a copy, by M. Lamar Keene called The Psychic Mafia. Keene tells the tale of Camp Chesterfield, a sort of outlet shopping mall…
FREE CLASS
UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…
