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William M. Briggs

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How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do In Our 2024 Predictions?

I'm happy to report that we had a good crop of predictions for 2024. As is usual, I only highlight the best, or worst, or funniest forecast every entrant gave.…
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How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)
Posted inStatistics

How The Enlightenment Led To Contraception (And Other Forms of Anti-Natal Behavior)

We continue our leisurely and in-depth study of the works of David Stove. We're still with his book On Enlightenment. This article is long, so if you're short of time,…
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What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say
Posted inStatistics

What Science Can Say About Vaccines: And What It Can’t Say

Interesting times for science are in store given the incoming administration. RFK, Jr. has been tasked to make America Healthy Again. He will fail where he encourages women to kill…
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See You On The Other Side
Posted inStatistics

See You On The Other Side

Half the country will be unhappy late tonight. Or in a few days, when the last of the new votes are "discovered". Yet be of good cheer! This was all…
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The Decline Of Western Christianity: Gradually Then Suddenly
Posted inStatistics

The Decline Of Western Christianity: Gradually Then Suddenly

Here's a graph which I entitle Gradually Then Suddenly (ladies, try not to swoon over my astonishing artistic gifts): If you're a classicist you might prefer the title Motus In…
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Crime Issue Reveals the Real Source of Nation’s Political Divide — Guest Post by ST Karnick
Posted inStatistics

Crime Issue Reveals the Real Source of Nation’s Political Divide — Guest Post by ST Karnick

Karnik is more in touch with "normies" than the author of this blog/Substack, and I thought it would be interesting to bring us that perspective. For instance, I look with…
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Quelling Violence In Terror States! The Return Of Dickman
Posted inStatistics

Quelling Violence In Terror States! The Return Of Dickman

Here is the opening sentence in the Abstract of a paper in the NEJM, as hilariously false as you are like to see these days: "Violence against women receives little…
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The Farcical Evangelical ‘Betrayal’ Argument Against Trump
Posted inStatistics

The Farcical Evangelical ‘Betrayal’ Argument Against Trump

This is a slow week, so I thought it would be amusing to look at a ham-fisted campaign the left is running to discourage Christian Trump voters. (As I was…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I think that pessimism morphs into cynicism when we perceive personal gain in our bleak expectations.

  2. Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    The best explanation I saw on twitter was this rephrasing: "There is a blender. Jumping into the blender will kill…

  3. Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I rephrased the question to remove "red" and "blue" priming words and asked the wife: "Space aliens create two buttons,…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    If the colors of the buttons reflect the same ideological sides they do in current discourse, then disappearing the blue…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

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