Search Results for “"time series"” – Page 5

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…

Class Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…

Book review Statistics

Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we're 1.5 years out, it's time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again…

Statistics

Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes

Today's post is at the Stream: xkcd's Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book…

Statistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…

Statistics

Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics FREE for New Subscribers!

Today a deal so unbelievable that it can't be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn't be believed. This follows logically: that which is…

Statistics

The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/725150630441000960 If you can't see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is also given. Now I do not give a damn about the election, so please not…

Johnno on As Woke Falls, What Rises?December 21, 2024
Whatever falls, new Expurts always rise. They even optimized Time for us and we've been confused and suffering ever since...…
Johnno on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 20, 2024
We should offer to pay for our leader's mandatory lobotomies as part of the spending passage. MANDATORY. Cite Biden's state…
Ryan on Class 32: The Evils, Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)December 20, 2024
I think you're being a bit harsh. The authors concluded as follows in their abstract: "[W]e found an excess ALS…
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take? – William M. Briggs on A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s ParadoxDecember 20, 2024
[…] did Newcomb’s Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would…
Uncle Mike on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 19, 2024
I don't understand the desire by dems and reps alike to throttle this country to death before Jan 20. Such…