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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes

Today's post is at the Stream: xkcd's Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong

As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland's version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving…
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Posted inStatistics

The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models

Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick's paper "HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series", which is receiving the usual…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example

Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
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Posted inStatistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Properly Handle Proxy Time Series Reconstructions

This is all made up data, so as not to hurt anybody's feelings. Also, this is a sketch. Everything can't be done in 700 words. We are interested in the…
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Posted inStatistics

(Most) Everything Wrong With Time Series

It came out at my recent meeting that a compilation of everything wrong with time series was in order. A lot of this I've done before, and so, just as…
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  1. BDavi52 on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    You ask, "Why would anybody take a survey with such a slippery and indefensible list of questions seriously?” The answer…

  2. CorkyAgain on Sexual Assault Galore At CornellOctober 12, 2026

    "how much sexual assault and harassment they enjoyed" Unless you're being snide (hardly unexpected), "enjoyed" should probably be "endured".

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    PS... I am regretting my use of the word "Unencumbered". I should of used Kamala Harris's term; "Unburdned". Madame Harris…

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    When I was twenty-two, and a bit drunk at a party, I kissed a woman I was not in a…

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    Something today's women fail to recognize is that though a high body-count may make a male seem "Alpha" , that…

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