Search Results for “"time series"” – Page 2

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes

Today's post is at the Stream: xkcd's Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book…

Statistics

Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong

As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland's version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving…

Statistics

The IPCC’s And McKitrick’s “Hiatus” Time Series Models

Several readers asked me to look at Ross McKitrick's paper "HAC-Robust Measurement of the Duration of a Trendless Subsample in a Global Climate Time Series", which is receiving the usual…

Statistics

Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example

Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…

Statistics

Time Series Aren’t Easy: Tornado Deaths Example

Time series are the most abused statistics in the physical sciences. (It's an endless, raucous, peer-reviewed contest for the worst in the "soft sciences.") The Mann problem (is that a…

Statistics

How To Properly Handle Proxy Time Series Reconstructions

This is all made up data, so as not to hurt anybody's feelings. Also, this is a sketch. Everything can't be done in 700 words. We are interested in the…

Statistics

(Most) Everything Wrong With Time Series

It came out at my recent meeting that a compilation of everything wrong with time series was in order. A lot of this I've done before, and so, just as…

Philip Rogan on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
May be showing my lack of IQ: 2 + 2 = 4; 4 x 2 = 8. 5 + 5…
NLR on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
You explained the point clearly, that any question involves assumptions about its meaning and how it should be answered. If…
Cary D Cotterman on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
In the absence of knowing if the author intended some more complex formula, and what it might be, the simplest…
Brian (bulaoren) on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
72! That's my story and I'm stickin' to it! I think that puzzle would have been more legitimate if the…
bruce g charlton on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 8, 2026
Ultimately IQ tests are "pen and paper tests", and share their intrinsic limitations and assumptions*. The reason IQ tests were…