Search Results for “"time series"” – Page 13

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…

Philosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…

Statistics

Climate Science And Significance: Wall Street Journal Takes On Statistics

Coin Flips and Dice Rolls Doug Keenan has a must-read piece in the Wall Street Journal on the time series analysis of global temperature (Thanks to Randy, Roger, and John…

Fun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…

Fun Statistics

A Time To Celebrate!

I am, once more, reliving my Air Force days. I am strapped into a seat designed for a midget, jetting across the Wild Blue towards the shores of Lake Michigan,…

Statistics

The McShane and Wyner Gordie Howe Treatment Of Mann

Many---as in lots and lots---of folks wrote in and asked me to review the McShane and Wyner paper. Thanks! Gordie Howe---Mr Hockey to you---didn't need his stick, his hockey stick,…

Book review Philosophy

Reasoning To Belief: Feser’s The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism — Part IV

Read Part I, Part II, Part III, Part Interlude, Part IV, Part V, Part VI. Part Last. It's God All The Way Down Talk about causality without foreshadowing a tie…

Book review Statistics

The Great Global Warming Blunder by Roy W. Spencer

The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World's Top Climate Scientists by Roy W. Spencer This book was given to me for review by the publisher. Clouds…

Johnno on As Woke Falls, What Rises?December 21, 2024
Whatever falls, new Expurts always rise. They even optimized Time for us and we've been confused and suffering ever since...…
Johnno on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 20, 2024
We should offer to pay for our leader's mandatory lobotomies as part of the spending passage. MANDATORY. Cite Biden's state…
Ryan on Class 32: The Evils, Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)December 20, 2024
I think you're being a bit harsh. The authors concluded as follows in their abstract: "[W]e found an excess ALS…
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take? – William M. Briggs on A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s ParadoxDecember 20, 2024
[…] did Newcomb’s Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would…
Uncle Mike on House Cramnibus Funds New Follow-The-Science PanicsDecember 19, 2024
I don't understand the desire by dems and reps alike to throttle this country to death before Jan 20. Such…