November 19, 2024 – William M. Briggs

Suppose you're an Expert, or even an ordinary person, and you say, "If the world is like X, then Y will happen". Or you say or imply, "If the world…

McChuck on Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished ExpertNovember 19, 2024
Of course, with Leftists, the bad model is everything inside their head. And then when reality doesn't match up, they…
Bad Predictions Mean Bad Models, Even If You’re A Distinguished Expert – William M. Briggs on Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?November 19, 2024
[…] (“a formula of 13 true-or-false questions”; we looked at this before the election, blog/Substack). He also told us that…
Robin on Class 29: Nothing Has A DistributionNovember 18, 2024
Great series of classes SSt Briggs. I view the distribution or probability density functions (generic functions?) as a dimensionless normalization…
Ellie Kesselman on A Theory Of Mis- & Disinformation & Its Uses In PropagandaNovember 18, 2024
Hagfish is very droll! I am lol'ing!
Thinking Man Bad on Trends In Wokeness & Girlbossery In ScienceNovember 18, 2024
Girls don't have empathy. They have sympathy. I am sick and tired of these two different words and concepts being…