April 2017 – Page 3 – William M. Briggs

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…

Philosophy

The Coming Metaphysic

Etienne Gilson's The Unity of Philosophical Experience was recommended to me by Fr Rickert (whom regular readers will recognize) and I in turn recommend it to you. The book was…

Statistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…

Statistics

Two Common Statistical Fallacies

Here are two fun fallacies, excerpted from a paper I wrote a couple of years ago in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. For more on this sort of…

Culture

Stream: March For Science Descending Into Farce

Apologies for the re-send. Certain events intervened and I posted the original too early. The Stream article is now live. March For Science Descending Into Farce: Intersectionality and Diversity edition.…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The immortality of the soul, Part II

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. We're finishing…

Culture

Going In Style—To The Movies

This post originally appeared 17 January of this year, but is reposted now because the remake was released yesterday. We'd be interested in hearing from any who see it. I…

Culture Philosophy

Clean Razors For Women Who Cut Themselves? What Happened to First Do No Harm?

Physicians long ago abandoned the Hippocratic Oath, for at least the reason that its call for physicians not to cause harm went against the modern acceptance, and even boasting, of…

Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…
Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets – William M. Briggs on The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of VotingJuly 23, 2024
[…] in the long run. This brings us to the Voting Fallacy, which I wrote about at length here (blog,…
Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
TFBW, Fixed. Thanks.
TFBW on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
The link to Breaking the Law of Averages has been sabotaged by one of your enemies.