September 2016 – Page 3 – William M. Briggs

Uncertainty and the World: An interview with W. M. Briggs at Ordeal of Consciousness

Our friend Dover Beach, perhaps after having taken a fall or because he stood too close to Hillary and caught her disease, considered it would be well to interview Yours…

Philosophy

On Habits Good & Bad

Our neighbor up on the lake was old and growing infirm, and he had let my dad know that he needed some yard work done. My dad sent me over.…

Fun

New York Times Is Looking For A Climate Change Editor. That’s Me!

Dean Baquet and Sam Dolnick New York Times New York, NY Re: Climate Change Editor Dear Misters Baquet and Dolnick, Please accept my application for the position of Climate Change…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Intellectual Substances & Subsistent Forms

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Very brief…

Statistics

Bad Science Used to Block Americans’ Access to Life-Saving Technology

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbf_TXqEY-Y Our friend Jane Orient, lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, put out the release below, in which she very kindly mentions Yours Truly. The AAPS runs…

Statistics

Stream: Did Ohio’s New Abortion Law Cause An Increase In Adverse Events?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bwn0QBhy2TQ Today's post is at The Stream: Did Ohio's New Abortion Law Cause An Increase In Adverse Events? ...The drugs mifepristone and misoprostol are sometimes injected into pregnant women to…

Statistics

Just What Is Signal And What Is Noise?

There are two senses of Signal and Noise (SN). The first is obvious: a signal, some known phenomenon, is corrupted by outside forces, where these caused corruptions are the noise.…

Culture

The Great Spiritual Accompaniment

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/769309542886674433 If you can't see the tweet above, it reads "Anybody who says 'accompany them on their spiritual journey' ought to have their mouth washed out with strong soap." Can…

Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…
Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…
Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…
Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets – William M. Briggs on The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of VotingJuly 23, 2024
[…] in the long run. This brings us to the Voting Fallacy, which I wrote about at length here (blog,…