June 2015 – Page 3 – William M. Briggs

What The Republicans Didn’t Learn In Middle School. Guest Post by Mrs X

Editor's note: This column comes from somebody I spoke to when I was at the Heartland Climate Conference, ICCC-10---1, 2, 3---and who wishes to remain anonymous. It came at a…

Statistics

Heartland Climate Conference #ICCC10: Day 3. True Believers

As has often been said, PowerPoint is sure proof of Satan's existence. I agree. This is why I eschewed that excruciating, demonic contrivance and instead read a paper. The benefit…

Statistics

Heartland Climate Conference #ICCC10: Day 2. Lousy Models, Wrong Theory

Forgive the brief post. Got back late, got up early, and have to be out early. Don't want to miss Mark Steyn's breakfast speech. See the Twitter hashtag #ICCC10 or…

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Heartland Climate Conference: Day 1. Everybody Gets Time Series Wrong

As predicted, there were cigars. But I missed them. The smoking party left without me while I listed to Ireland's version of the Mr Wizard brothers. A science experiment involving…

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I Am In Awe Of What Passes For Science

I'm traveling to the Heartland Climate Conference today. Special speakers dinner and pep talk later, and, rumor has it, cigars and whiskey. I started that rumor, and I have cigars,…

Culture

Free Range Adults

Editor says: note the author's name. The Free Range Kids movement, if we dare call it that, was started by Lenore Skenazy who had the audacity not only to send…

Culture Statistics

Democracy And The Inevitable Erosion Of Standards: Racist Tests Edition

Democracies are born from elite (hierarchical) societies and for a time can and do retain much of their elitism, but since democracy is premised on egalitarianism ("We hold these truths..."),…

Statistics

George Gilder’s Information Theory Of Money

This is the second part of a review of George Gilder's monograph The 21st Century Case for Gold: A New Information Theory of Money. The first part, about the return…

Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…
Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…
Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024
At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets – William M. Briggs on The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of VotingJuly 23, 2024
[…] in the long run. This brings us to the Voting Fallacy, which I wrote about at length here (blog,…
Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024
TFBW, Fixed. Thanks.