Harmonica Convergence: classic column

In 1987 in Sedona, Arizona, the end of the world occurred in an event called the "Second Harmonic Convergence". It was publicized all over the world. Many enlightened people came.…

You cannot measure a mean

I often say---it is even the main theme of this blog---that people are too certain. This is especially true when people report results from classical statistics, or use classical methods…

Afternoon at GISS

Tim Hall at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies invited me to give a seminar on statistical hurricane modeling. A link to my presentation is below. Tim, with Stephen Jewson,…

Heartland conference: day 2

In the morning, there were enormous piles of bacon, which is, as all competent doctor's should recommend, the best way to start a day. Robert Balling of Arizona State gave…