Posted inClass Statistics
Making Random Draws Is Nuts
Let's do a little science experiment together. Go into the closet and pull out an opaque sack or bag. Anything will do, even a large sock. If you can fit…
Posted inClass Statistics
There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…
Posted inStatistics
Global Warming: Thirty Years Of Hype, Hysteria & Hullabaloo
In the late spring of 1988, Senator Tim Wirth from Colorado (guess his party) called the Weather Bureau and asked what historically was the hottest day of the year in…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Peter Singer Wants to Teach the World His Song Of Death
It's always amazing to me when I see Peter Singer's name crop up on an article. I keep guessing he'd have been tarred and feathered and purged from polite society…
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics
Chapter 1 Excerpt from Uncertainty: The Soul of Probability, Modeling & Statistics
Buy the book! Necessary & Conditional Truth Given "x,y,z are natural numbers and x>y and y>z" the proposition "x>z" is true (I am assuming logical knowledge here, which I don't…
Posted inStatistics
Statistics Are Now Hate Facts
Hate facts are true statements about reality that our elites demand remain occult and unuttered. Elites don't yet say that members of the elite cannot know hate facts, but they…
Posted inStatistics
The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition
Hypothesis testing leads to more scientific nonsense than any other practice, including fraud. Hypothesis testing, as regular readers know, cannot identify cause. It conflates decision with probability and leads to…
Posted inClass Statistics
Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…