Statistics – Page 92 – William M. Briggs

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part II New (Free) Software Regression 1

Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2!…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this: …

Fun Statistics

Mail Bag

I daily receive thoughtful emails from readers. Some ask questions, many point to articles or "studies" that need comment. Others just want to say hi. I am grateful for these…

Statistics

Dissolving & Not Resolving The Fermi Paradox

Paper by Anders Sandberg, Eric Drexler and Toby Ord of the Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford University made the news last week. "Dissolving the Fermi Paradox", on Arxiv (and therefore…

Statistics

Is Presuming Innocence A Bayesian Prior?

Note An earlier version of this post was accidentally sent out in unedited form. My enemies caused me to hit the wrong button. Subscribers: apologies for the near duplicate email.…

Statistics

Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks

I stole today's title from David Papineau's essay "Thomas Bayes and the crisis in science", which many readers sent in. When I was in grad school bad in the early…

Statistics

Researchers Forced To Teach Algorithms To Reject Hate Facts

As we learned before, hate facts "are true statements about reality that our elites demand remain occult and unuttered." The problem is that hate facts will routinely pop up in…

Statistics

Statistics Vs. Artificial Intelligence

https://twitter.com/drewconway/status/1010137695664951297 This meme which heads today's post (see discussion under this tweet a modification of an original cartoon) expresses the true distinction between statistics, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. Which…

Johnno on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 19, 2024
Have the reporters asked the White House if perhaps another booster might help the Biden? A certain someone said it…
Johnno on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 19, 2024
Technically, the Church had and used slaves. And even the Old Testament allowed for slavery under certain conditions. For example,…
cdquarles on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 19, 2024
Corona viruses have a known summer season in the tropics and subtropics. So, yawn, no surprise that we are seeing…
hudbwu on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 18, 2024
Of course, the abolition of slavery was something the (Catholic) Church worked basically since day 1. And I'm pretty sure…
Cary D Cotterman on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
I know people (coincidentally all Democrats) who are constantly "masking up", testing, and getting boosted, who claim they've had covid…