Statistics – Page 81 – William M. Briggs

Special Mid-Week Doom — All Israel All The Time Edition

Item Nearly 400 Lawmakers Call on Trump to Address Threats in Syria Dear Mr. President: At a time of grave insecurity in the Middle East, we are deeply concerned about…

Class Statistics

Example Of Bad Trend Analysis

These examples are from the BAMS article "Continental US Hurricane Landfall Frequency And Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks" by PhiliP J. Klotzbach, Steven G. Bowen, Roger Pielke JR., and…

Statistics

VI Arnold On Models

Thanks to reader Victor Domin for pointing us to the paper "On teaching mathematics" by V.I. Arnold. Here's an extended quote on models (do read the whole thing). At this…

Statistics

Weight Of Evidence

Some have the idea that there should be a "weight of evidence" that is separate from probability, or in addition to it. Probability judgments are held more or less strongly,…

Statistics

Notes On AI Accuracy (Facial Recognition)

Here's a tweet (addressed to Judea Pearl), "If you could get rid of all the spurious non causal correlations in a machine-learning model, you would be left with only the…

Culture Statistics

Nature Advocates Using Children To Propagandize Parents

Nature magazine has published the article "Ignorant children should be used to propagandize their more knowledgeable parents." I might have got the title wrong (click link for actual), but it's…

Class Statistics

Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid

Look at the picture, which is real data, but disguised to obscure its source. It is a physical measurement taken monthly by a recognized authority. The measurements are thought to…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ

That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody…

cdquarles on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 19, 2024
Corona viruses have a known summer season in the tropics and subtropics. So, yawn, no surprise that we are seeing…
hudbwu on The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2July 18, 2024
Of course, the abolition of slavery was something the (Catholic) Church worked basically since day 1. And I'm pretty sure…
Cary D Cotterman on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
I know people (coincidentally all Democrats) who are constantly "masking up", testing, and getting boosted, who claim they've had covid…
Rudolph Harrier on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
This will last until they need an outbreak for a distraction and some other (minor) disease has naturally spread before…
Hagfish Bagpipe on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 18, 2024
Covid the "Boogerman of Maladies"? -- you jest Briggs but it's no joking matter. I had the sniffles once and…