A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…

Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…

Kissing Cousins Thanks to our new friend at In Proportion, a must-view site, we have daily deaths in England & Wales going back to 1993, and not just from 2013.…

Here (from the official source; h/t Meme Pusher) are the all-cause weekly deaths for England and Wales, 2010 until 17 April 2020. The blips peaking around January are (the assumption…

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…

Most likely due to my prolonged incarceration in my windowless mud hut with no company but my wife, bless her heart, my mind has begun to wander aimlessly and I…

CDC Correctly Predicts Second Wave https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1252707856442327041 Also: CDC Director: Next Winter's COVID-19 Season Could Be Even Worse "There's a possibility that the assault of the virus on our nation next…

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…