I hope you’ll forgive this minor repetition, my friends. But since the world has not yet converted to the truth, shouted by de Finetti and handful of others, that probability does not […]
Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper
You and I, dear reader, have looked at a lot of bad science over the years. Some science was bad because of the stank of woke, some because of fractured philosophy, some […]
The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards
Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man’s influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The last ice […]
Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!
I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: “Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models“. This is a paper that will be celebrated with great […]
Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought
A lot of kids have alphabet blocks. Twenty six wooden squares with the letters of the alphabet on them. One way to arrange them is just like in the song, “A B […]
How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror. Constructed, you […]
Questions On Statistical Practice Answered
Forgive me my friends, because of reasons I am terribly far behind on everything. Regular posting to resume soon. While back in a post, I was ranting about something like p-values, or […]
The Frequency Interpretation Of Probability Is False: Some Reasons Contra von Mises
What is the chance that “Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential election”? Impossible to say, says Richard von Mises, because the event is singular and must be embedded in an infinite collection […]
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