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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Casey Anthony And The Probability of Guilt

What is the probability that Casey Anthony is guilty of murder? High, but according to twelve men and women honest and true, not high enough. High enough is supposed to…
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Posted inStatistics

New Editorial Against Editorializing In Science Journals

The editorial is mine, Willie Soon's, David Legates's, and Bob Carter's, and it appears in the latest edition of Water, Air, & Soil Pollution. It's entitled "A Vaccine Against Arrogance"…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Title IX And Campus Equality

Under Title IX, a woman is entitled to equal access to everything on a college campus. That includes being safe. The most devastating thing is a young girl who reports…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Replication In Science

Have doubts about the latest finding from researchers? Confused that last week red wine "increased the risk of heart disease" but this week red wine "decreased the risk of heart…
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Posted inStatistics

TSA De-diapers Old Lady (Update) And German Jokes

Another busy day---but still some things to ponder. TSA You'll have heard the TSA forced a 95-year-old woman, on her way home to die among family, was forced to strip…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A New (Old) View Of Statistics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 11

It is often difficult to keep in mind all the links in a chain of argument when that chain is long.1 This is especially so when one expects that chain…
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Posted inStatistics

Regression Examples. Normal Distributions Often Stink. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 10

Today, just one example, and the simplest kind, to show you that using regular regression, with its assumptions of "normality", can quickly lead to absurdities---absurdities which will pass unnoticed using…
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Posted inStatistics

Picking X’s In Regression. The Role Of Relevance. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 9

Be sure to first read Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends then Regression Is Not What You Think. Climate And Other Examples, as this post…
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  1. JH on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 10, 2026

    Would Trump attack China or Russia? Why not? Bullying is wrong. War is wrong. [H]is specialty is obfuscation… lol. And…

  2. JH on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 10, 2026

    Although I have not taught many Black students, I have observed that the most academically talented Black students perform at…

  3. JH on Proof!April 10, 2026

    Lincoln’s ”Fragments on Slavery” c. 1854 If A. can prove, however conclusively, that he may, of right, enslave B.—why may…

  4. Brendan P O'Sullivan on Class 85: Proper Scores of Model GoodnessApril 9, 2026

    Bill - An opportunity to help fellow Vets! Look at the following - regarding jet fuel exposure to vets -…

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    You don't need a publisher. It's just Godwin's Law in action. For whatever reason, that seals the deal for most…

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