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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability Is Not Subjective (It Only Seems Like It Is)

Logic Start with standard logic; think syllogisms. This is not a trick question: Is it true or false that C = "George wears a hat"? There is no way to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Probability & Swinburne’s P-Inductive & C-Inductive Arguments (For God’s Existence)

Because I am jet-lagged (and fundamentally lazy) here is a classic post, modified to include a homework assignment. Don't be like me: do the work. This post contains some fundamental…
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Posted inStatistics

Mr Clarence Beeks, a.k.a. King Pleasure

I'm in the Mood for Love a.k.a. Moody's Mood for Love. Another travel day. I think it was this recording (and not another; "Pleasure" made several) that Danny Stiles used…
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Posted inStatistics

Lightning May Cause Headaches, Moon May Cause Domestic Intranquility

I have discovered a statistically significant correlation between phases of the moon and domestic harmony. Every day for several months I filled out the Domestic Harmony Inventory (DHI), a scientifically…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Updates: What’s Happening With Briggs? With the On-line Course? Etc.?

Homefront Things progress on the Briggs ranch---a patch of 900 square feet in the wilds of Upper Eastern Manhattan. They may shortly be progressing away from the island towards...where, nobody…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statistics Is Not Math: Update To Allow New Comments

Update Hello newcomers. Posts usually close for comments after two weeks. But since this one is getting so many views, I moved it up to re-open comments. "Here is a…
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Posted inStatistics

Does Barack Obama Have A Mandate? A Look At The Numbers

How important was Barack Obama's victory? By what measure can he be said to have secured a "mandate"? How does his election compares to others? And how do voters in…
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Posted inStatistics

Use And Abuses Of Decision Analysis: Global Warming Example

Suppose we have a simple decision to make1: implement a government-takeover of all energy companies, so as to regulate with thoroughness their carbon budgets, or leave these entities as they…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 22, 2026

    Enough time has passed, since this post went up, for me to feel no need to stick to the topic.…

  2. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  5. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

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