My friends, I need your help. I have written a paper on quantifying the uncertainty of effects due to global warming, but the subject is too big for one person. Nevertheless, I […]
Homework #1: Answer part II
In part I, we learned that all surveys, and in fact all statistical models, are valid only conditionally on some population (or information). We went into nauseating detail of the conditional information […]
Homework #1: Answer part I
A couple of days ago I gave out homework. I asked my loyal readers to count how many people walked by them and to keep track of how many of those people […]
CRITICAL ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS FROM A SCIENTIFIC PERSPECTIVE
Here is the link to the symposium which I mentioned a few weeks back. It is being sponsored by the Ram?n Areces Foundation and the Royal Academy of Sciences of Spain, and […]
Another reason to leave academia
1. Repeat after me: “There are no innate biological differences between men and women…except, well, women are of course better nurturers, sympathizers, empathizers, and a score of other things.” 2. Now use […]
It depends what the meaning of mean means.
Yesterday’s post was entitled, “You cannot measure a mean”, which is both true and false depending—thanks to Bill Clinton for the never-ending stream of satire—on what the meaning of mean means. The […]
You cannot measure a mean
I often say—it is even the main theme of this blog—that people are too certain. This is especially true when people report results from classical statistics, or use classical methods when implementing […]
Afternoon at GISS
Tim Hall at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies invited me to give a seminar on statistical hurricane modeling. A link to my presentation is below. Tim, with Stephen Jewson, is doing […]
Recent Comments