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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Probability Of A Bottle Broken Into N Pieces When Struck By A Hammer

Logic is the study of relationships between propositions, and probability, which is the same, is thus the completion of logic to instances where the relationships are not certain. From this…
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Posted inStatistics

Betting Begins On Next Official “Orientation” Letter

I started this before I learned of Facebook's 50+ "gender" identities. But because our government will surely involve itself, what is below still has force. What will be the next…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part II

Read Part I. We haven't made use of our time machine in Jesus's case. So I ask you, is it possible that if we go far enough into the future,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Epistemology Of Miracles: Fulton J. Sheen Edition, Part I

Let's you and me see if we can figure out what caused little Jimmy Engstrom to crawl back from the brink of death. I'm not a physician and I'm assuming…
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Posted inFun Statistics

WMBriggs.com Now A Violence Site

A reader at The Robert Gordon University in Scotland tried to access my site from campus and received this message. Now, presuming this is not a mistake, I am very…
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Posted inStatistics

How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming

Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are The Chances Of That?

Go ahead and ask me. I'll even pretend to laugh. Just as I chuckle warmly with you when you quote Mark Twain (or Disraeli) abut damned lies. (Secretly, I'll be…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Best Picture Oscar Winner: Model Prediction

For several years I have been predicting (with perfect accuracy) the best picture Oscar. (See this and this for past years.) The "model" pick for this year is Captain Phillips.…
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  1. David on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    I would also like to point out that slaves often had *better* medical care than their working-class white counterparts, being…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Perhaps slave traders found low-intelligence blacks easier to capture, resulting in an intellectually challenged population of blacks in the U.S.…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Bad Black Health Blamed On SlaveryAugust 20, 2026

    Where do homicide rates fit in?

  4. McChuck on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 20, 2026

    I am morally certain that murdering innocent children for fun and profit is evil. There. That was easy.

  5. JohnK on Is Moral Certainty Possible?August 19, 2026

    For me, 'moral certainty' is a category error. Such talk has to be refused, not engaged. One example. The New…

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