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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…
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Posted inStatistics

Evidence Does Not Support Low Consumption Of Total Saturated Fats

The full version of the headline is this: Current evidence does not clearly support cardiovascular guidelines that encourage high consumption of polyunsaturated fatty acids and low consumption of total saturated…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

HANDY Not So Dandy: NASA-Funded Mathematical Model Of Doom

Mathematically minded Remember back in the 1990s when otherwise intelligent people would look to the scientific literature and say, "Those guys must be right. They used a computer model." A…
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Posted inStatistics

Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win? Paper From Brazil

The Blaze ran a story with headline "Mathematician Thinks There's a Way to Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win". Turns out Renato Gianella thinks he's discovered…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming Hanger-On Says Ends Justify The Means

A question from the new SAT in Reading Comprehension was leaked: "'The students rushed the platform to prevent the speaker from speaking.' Were these students, (A) progressives, or (B) conservatives?"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The One-True-Religion Fallacy. (It’s Not What You Think)

At the end of the eponymous movie, the slave army led by gladiator-cum-general Spartacus (Kirk Dougla) lies defeated before the creator of the First Triumvirate, General Marcus Licinius Crassus (Laurence…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

Let us agree with the enlightened that the world is imperfect and ought not to be. The cause of imperfection is human error which ought to be eradicated with extreme…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

It's difficult to design a test such that all those taking it do not all do well nor all do poorly. For instance, suppose the SAT were to consist of…
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  1. Briggs on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    McChuck, That lieutenant must be at least a congressman by now.

  2. McChuck on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    I remember the multiple blizzards of the 1970's. I had to be outside on guard patrol all night in -40…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

  4. shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    c'mon global warming!

  5. Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La NiƱa is not helping out here. Repairing…

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