Expertopia: The Debate Is Over
Coronavirus…… the reality? pic.twitter.com/JGwvgiqsY1 — Tony (@Mrtdogg) May 8, 2020 You may lead a horse to water, But you cannot make him drink. You may stuff a man with knowledge,…
Category: Statistics
The general theory, methods, and philosophy of the Science of Guessing What Is.
Winnowing the COVID-19 Numbers — Guest Post by John Carver
This idependent article shows how confusing counting coronavirus deaths are. Regular readers, no Doom tomorrow. This is going to be a preliminary investigation into the COVID-19 numbers being presented hourly…
The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
I would like to preface this post with the following thought. Never depart for Moscow after the Ides of March. Unless you like Russian winters, of course. Bear with me…
Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny
I originally had this scheduled for Monday, but shifted to Wednesday because of the z-score mania. So I’m sure there can be many more things to add to this. Last…
Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of “Oh yeah,…
An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column
Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…
Comparing England & USA Covid & Historical Kill Rates (Sorry, England)
Kissing Cousins Thanks to our new friend at In Proportion, a must-view site, we have daily deaths in England & Wales going back to 1993, and not just from 2013.…