Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
Category: Statistics
The general theory, methods, and philosophy of the Science of Guessing What Is.
Proof That Music Is Growing Worse
This post originally ran 28 September 2011, and is in the top 20 of all posts. If I ever do it again, there is much I’d expand on. The basic…
Coronavirus Update III: Secondary Peak and Freak——ing Out
All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations in linked in Update II, so go there first if you haven’t seen it yet. Signs & Symptoms Skip to the next section…
Observable-Based , Predictive, or Causal Statistics? Don’t Test! Don’t Estimate!
The term predictive statistics is used to describe a focus on observables, and not on any invisible model-based parameters as is found in estimation and null hypothesis significance testing. It…
Coronavirus Update II, Stats & Predictions
The code to do the plots yourself is here, a post which should be read for all the caveats, explanations, and so on. The original coronavirus post is here, which…
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, “The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today’s post title is stolen from a paper by the same name “Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?” in Gender &…
Experts Mystified Why Gender Dysphoria Increasing
Here’s the headline: Cases of gender dysphoria in Swedish teenage girls up 1,500 percent since 2008. The Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare says that the number of cases…