Posted inStatistics
Angelina Jolie’s Decisions Shouldn’t Necessarily Be Yours
Men ordinarily don't like writing about women's breasts, but I had so many emails asking me why Angelina Jolie decided to part with hers that I felt we had better…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part III
Following Part II, here are some examples to show the differences between objectivist, subjectivist, and frequentist probabilities derived from fixed premises and set conclusions. Example 1 Not all probability is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments
Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Celeste Greig Fired Over Rape Comments
A hoard of angry abortion supporters---one wonders if there are other kinds---succeeded in removing Celeste Greig from her post as president of the state's Republican Assembly. Greig's thought crime? In…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Optimism In Physician Prognoses
Poor Michael Boren lay dead at one of the ugliest places in New York City, the on-ramp to the Queensboro Bridge. Heart attack. He was only 51. He made it…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part II
Read Part I. What is the probability that "The Detroit Tigers win today's game" (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Mexican Hat Fallacy
Reader Kip Hansen asks, "Can you please run a brief explanation of what the Mexican Hat fallacy is statistically?" I can. The Mexican Hat Fallacy, or Falacia Sombrero, is when…
Posted inStatistics
Manhattan Methane Mystery: Or, A Curious Way To Argue For Green Energy
Today's guest post is in the form of an extended email by Gerald E. Quindry, Ph.D., P.E. who noticed something peculiar about some official findings on methane measurements. Dr Briggs,…