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Posted inStatistics

Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper

The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Which Statistics Grad School If You’re Sick Of Hocus-Pocus P-values?

I received this query from a reader and thought it important enough for all of us to answer. I was hoping you could provide some advice for an aspiring statistician.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability & Statistics Cannot Prove Cause

Correlation I was at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness conference in Ontario (LA) California and gave my paper The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause, which…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Writer Says Discovery Of Extraterrestrial Life Would Be Bad News For God. God Says Nope

The danger of writing about that in which you are ignorant is that you're bound to look foolish. Let's see an example. Jeff Schweitzer, who bills himself as a scientist…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause. New Paper

Cancer of the albondigas is horrifyingly under-diagnosed. See your doctor today and ask him if Profitizol is right for you. Today's post, in a way, is at Arxiv: The Crisis…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science

Today's post is at the Stream: Vatican Environmental Conference: A Marriage of Bad Governors and Bad Science. The excerpt here keeps my caveman joke which was lost somewhere downstream. Jerry…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bread From Something Or Nothing? Or, What’s A Miracle?

We interrupt our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles for this brief message. You've heard of the miracle of loaves and fishes? What's a miracle? How do miracles happen? Read these…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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  1. Briggs on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    John, Now that's very interesting. I would have loved to have heard that talk.

  2. John Pate on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 5, 2025

    This is why I laughed at the nonsense about Casinos using probability. All they care about is the House wins…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad DiceDecember 4, 2025

    So, after a full day, nobody has commented. Well, I tried to wade through it all but, as William Safire…

  4. How Brain Structure Shapes Political Bias: The Neuroscience Behind Right-Wing Authoritarianism - Audette-O-Blog on Conservatives Produced By “Low Effort” Thinking: StudyDecember 3, 2025

    […] Conservatives Produced By “Low Effort” Thinking: Study – Why Boozy Barflies and Stressed Slackers Might Just Be the Truest…

  5. Richard S. on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherDecember 3, 2025

    I retrieved and read or skimmed Chanda's piece. Her article scarcely referenced actual counts and statistics, but some of the…

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