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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Predictions For 2017—Register Yours Today!

Once more unto the breach! We did well last year, but we had the advantage of a neat unambiguous set of predictions all could make, i.e. the United States primaries…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?

This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the…
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Posted inStatistics

The Politicization Of Science Organizations: The Firing Of Michael Lubell

What might pass for a small item reveals much about the state of science, and in particular about science organizations. The stately American Physical Society, a political-scientific, or scientific-political, or…
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Posted inStatistics

Scott Adams’s Climate Science Challenge

Scott Adams's Climate Science Challenge is of interest---thanks to reader Francsois for bringing it to our attention---because of his name-brand recognition. Here is the gist: So today's challenge is to…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Some Statistics On What The Sexual Rebellion Wraught

I'm always complaining of statistics gone awry, but a constant diet of bad news can lead to bad things, like a desire to listen to NPR or to use PowerPoint.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Who’s Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls?

Stream: Who's Better At Playing Doctor, Boys Or Girls? The NBC News story "Female Doctors Outperform Male Doctors, According to Study" makes these bold claims. Patients treated by women are…
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Posted inStatistics

Pascal’s Mugging Is Silly: Events Don’t “Have” Probabilities

Before we begin, see this similar article about a different mugging scenario, which demonstrated that all probability is conditional and that decision isn't probability. Here's the serious version of Pascal's…
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  1. John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026

    1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

  3. hudbwu on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…

  4. NLR on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…

  5. Robert Arvanitis on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Of course the arithmetic is correct. And as with drugs, drinks and sex, gambling is potentially addictive. ON THE other…

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