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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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The Bent Curve and The Six Million Dollar Man — Guest Post by John Carver
Posted inStatistics

The Bent Curve and The Six Million Dollar Man — Guest Post by John Carver

When the media become filled with talk of heroes, you might want to hide your wallet; It’s probably going to get expensive. But more on that later. First some updates…
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Black Vs White Violence: Or, Why Cops & Blacks Have No Love For One Another
Posted inCulture Statistics

Black Vs White Violence: Or, Why Cops & Blacks Have No Love For One Another

So this black Cube fellow, speaking about the events in New Somalia (her implication), tweeted "How long will we go for Blue on Black Crime before we strike back???" It's…
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Here’s How They Can Push “New Cases” To Keep Panic Going
Posted inStatistics

Here’s How They Can Push “New Cases” To Keep Panic Going

Here, as I showed in the update, are the reported deaths divided by reported cases for the world and US. These are the crude case-fatality rates. They're "cases" for a…
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Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models
Posted inStatistics

Lockdowns Saved Trillions! …. Say Models

Joe Nocera --- read his Lockdowns Haven't Proved They’re Worth the Havoc --- sent us an article from the Washington Post which discusses how much money the lockdowns saved us.…
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Coronavirus Update XV: The Curse Of Karen
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XV: The Curse Of Karen

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Coronavirus Update XIV: Stretching Your Fear Dollar
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XIV: Stretching Your Fear Dollar

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis
Posted inCulture Statistics

Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis

The burden of proof that lockdowns work is clearly on those imposing and supporting lockdowns. Lockdown skeptics are under no obligation whatsoever to show lockdowns do not work. Lockdowns are…
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    Here they have no authority: none whatsoever. Is this an appeal to authority used in reverse? It seems that Dr.…

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    "The prospect of cutting out a juicy heart has blurred their vision..." I commend you. A less restrained man might…

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    Thank you, Dr. Kevorkian PS. Soylent green is people!

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    And to think that 20 years ago, when I was much younger, I would have fallen for these things.

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    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

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