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The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy
Posted inPhilosophy

The I Have Ascended Beyond Fallacy

There is a special kind of argument you hear only from academic Experts. Non-academic non-Experts never use it; or, if they do, I've not seen any example (beyond parroting AEs).…
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How The Laws Of Physics Lie
Posted inPhilosophy

How The Laws Of Physics Lie

The title is Nancy Cartwright's, from her book of the same name, and from an article which forms Chapter 3, "Do the Laws of Physics State the Facts?" No, she…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?
Posted inPhilosophy

Do We Need Philosophy, Or Can Science Replace It?

You see the news? Woman pretending to be a man walked into a school and murdered a bunch of kids. "I know what you're going to say. You're going to…
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The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…
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Emergence Comes From Nowhere, Does Nothing, Goes Nowhere, But Still Becomes Theory
Posted inBook review Philosophy

Emergence Comes From Nowhere, Does Nothing, Goes Nowhere, But Still Becomes Theory

We return to reviewing Sabine Hossenfelder's, a.k.a. Old Hoss's, new book Existential Physics. First part (many worlds), second part (entropy). If you knew all there is to know about hydrogen…
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What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?
Posted inPhilosophy

What’s The Difference Between Explanation & Prediction?

Our main goal is to learn if or how a theory can be falsified. Sound easy? It isn't. In order to get there, we first need to grasp what is…
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Experts: Stop Us Before We Let AI Become Aware & Kill Us All!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Experts: Stop Us Before We Let AI Become Aware & Kill Us All!

To reify, v: consider an abstract concept to be real. Now the Scientist was more cunning than any Expert in the field which the Dean had made. And he said…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  2. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  3. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  4. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

  5. Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.

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