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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ivy League Climate Skeptics

I received this email from Rob Fishman at the Huffington Post. My answer follows. I'm the social media editor here at HuffPost (and a Cornell alum). I came across your…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Is Like A Criminal Trial

What is A crime has been committed. Evidence---probative background information---points to a list of suspects, a list which, as always, might be incomplete. A most likely candidate is made to…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What’s Wrong With Hypothesis Testing: Reader Question

I received this email from long-time reader Ivin Rhyne, which is so well put that I thought we should all see it (I'm quoting with permission): Matt, I just got…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

John Cage’s 4′ 33″

As much as I think his theories are composed of aether, I wish, and heartily too, that John Cage's masterpiece 4' 33" were pumped through public speakers more often. I…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A “Statistically Significant Trend”?

Longtime reader Nate Winchester found a discussion---among the many, many---of global warming data revolving around statistics, from which we take the following snippet: You just do the statistics on the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Tolkien Wants A King, Cheating With Statistics

Cheating With Statistics Reader Matt Lewis points us to Planet Moron, to an article which tears apart a statistical argument used by the Washington Post, an argument which sought to…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Eliminating Randomness Reduces Need For God And Increases Belief In Evolution

Caution! The experiment I'm about to explain might increase your belief in God. It should only be attempted by academics who are immune to such deleterious effects. Got a pair…
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Posted inPhilosophy

High Priests Of (Climate) Science

"And thy response shall be: 'Nothing hear our prayer'," said the high priest of the Church of Science. "Nothing hear our prayer," intoned the congregation. "For we shall be a…
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  1. Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    The best explanation I saw on twitter was this rephrasing: "There is a blender. Jumping into the blender will kill…

  2. Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I rephrased the question to remove "red" and "blue" priming words and asked the wife: "Space aliens create two buttons,…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    If the colors of the buttons reflect the same ideological sides they do in current discourse, then disappearing the blue…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

  5. Zundfolge on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    I have to wonder if the colors were reversed if that would influence people's choice. Because the way the blue…

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