Example Of Bad Trend Analysis
These examples are from the BAMS article “Continental US Hurricane Landfall Frequency And Associated Damage: Observations and Future Risks” by PhiliP J. Klotzbach, Steven G. Bowen, Roger Pielke JR., and…
Category: Class – Applied Statistics
Using P-Values To Diagnose “Trends” Is Invalid
Look at the picture, which is real data, but disguised to obscure its source. It is a physical measurement taken monthly by a recognized authority. The measurements are thought to…
Woke Nature
It has been deemed as unscientific to say that a person’s genitals determines their sex. Genes, too, have been disallowed as scientific evidence. Nature says so, and they are the…
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Query: now that I’m a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don’t see how they’d help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
There was a paper a short while back, “Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results“, by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Review! We’re doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren’t far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Review! You must at least review the first lessons—all class material is on one page for ease. I’ll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I’ve said it…
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…