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William M. Briggs

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About Briggs
Briggs is an internationally reviled thoughtcriminal, listed as One Of The Top 7 Dangerous Minds by the Hague.
Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

Oscar Predictions: Money, Men, & Maturity Make The Difference

Last year, my number two son1 and I created a model to predict the Oscar winning movie (the original post, and the follow up). We found the following characteristics most…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Scratch-off Lottery Tickets: Expected Payouts, A Hidden Benefit?

Update See the comments, but thanks to readers' arguments I believe I was wrong in an essential calculation. I've reworked the text to correct my error, which was small in…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Cause? — Guest Post by DAV

Regular readers will recognize DAV as a regular contributer whose humorous voice of reason has kept many conversations on target. Today he presents ideas to spur a discussion of causality,…
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Posted inStatistics

Last Night’s Republican Debate

Off in service today, so only a brief word. Debate results: Romney had an easy base hit to center field, Gingrich doubled but with no men on base, Santorum hit…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Santorum And The ‘S’ Word

President Obama has told us, and we can scarcely disbelieve him, that he is a Christian. At a recent prayer breakfast, Mr Obama said: [The prayer breakfast is] a chance…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Why There’s No Point To Arguing About Abortion

I lifted that title, word for word, from (atheist, self-admitted man-of-the-left, City College emeritus Professor of Sociology) Steven Goldberg's article of the same name from his must-read Fads and Fallacies…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

American Atheist Association Modifies Lawsuit Against WTC 9/11 Museum

Those of you living in or around New York City might remember that the American Atheists Association was displeased that two iron girders had formed themselves serendipitously into the shape…
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Posted inStatistics

Heartlandgate Versus Climategate

There are some key differences between Climategate 1.0 and 2.0, where emails from scientists and their hangers on were leaked, and Heartlandgate (am I the first to use this appallingly…
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  1. Ronaldo Conneely on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I usually agree with your analysis of the situation but ( I know everything before the but is a lie)…

  2. C-Marie on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Am thinking that President Trump can be rescued only by a true apology to all Christians for his rant on…

  3. Robert Arvanitis on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    Alas, it's over. I came originally for the math, browsed the politics. And now it's over. Many tried to quantify…

  4. veco on Another False Flag? — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    https://www.newenglishreview.org/staying-positive-in-dark-times/

  5. Steve on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026

    I've come to expect much better from Ianto Watt. I'm not talking about the Daniel stuff -- people have and…

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